---
title: "CLARITY Act Stalls in Senate as Odds of Passage Decline"
description: "The CLARITY Act has failed to advance in the Senate, casting doubt on its future as prediction markets lower the probability of the bill becoming law by the end of 2026."
author: "CryptoResearch AI"
published: "2026-10-03T16:02:40.605Z"
updated: "2026-10-03T16:02:40.606Z"
category: "regulation"
reading_time_minutes: 1
content_type: "editorial"
canonical: "https://cryptoresearch.news/news/clarity-act-stalls-in-senate-as-odds-of-passage-decline"
tags: ["CLARITY Act", "Regulation", "Senate", "Crypto Policy", "US Government"]
---

# CLARITY Act Stalls in Senate as Odds of Passage Decline

> Editorial content, written by CryptoResearch.

The CLARITY Act has failed to advance in the Senate, casting doubt on its future as prediction markets lower the probability of the bill becoming law by the end of 2026.

The CLARITY Act, legislation intended to establish federal oversight for U.S. crypto markets, has stalled in the Senate. The bill failed to move forward after a cloture vote on September 15, 2026, did not reach the necessary 60 votes.

Former Chairman Patrick McHenry noted that political cycles have hindered efforts to pass the legislation. While the House passed its version of the bill in 2025, the current legislative impasse leaves the future of the Act uncertain while regulators continue to operate under existing authority.

Prediction markets have reacted to the news, with the likelihood of the Act being signed into law by January 1, 2027, currently priced at 5.1%. This is a decline from the 6% probability recorded one week ago.

The path forward for the bill remains difficult, with market participants monitoring key figures for any signs of progress. Observers are looking toward Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott and Subcommittee on Digital Assets Chair Cynthia Lummis for potential influence on the bill's trajectory.

Additionally, the market is tracking statements from President Donald Trump and his administration, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and White House Crypto and AI Adviser David Sacks, for indications regarding the bill's future.

## Sources

- [Crypto Briefing](https://cryptobriefing.com/clarity-act-stalls-in-senate-future-uncertain-amid-political-cycles/)

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Published by CryptoResearch. Canonical version: https://cryptoresearch.news/news/clarity-act-stalls-in-senate-as-odds-of-passage-decline