Brazil Bans Online Gambling Ahead of Presidential Election
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has issued an executive order banning online gambling, a move that has impacted his standing in prediction markets as the first round of the election approaches.

Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has signed an executive order to ban online gambling. The policy is intended to address rising household debt and gambling addiction, serving as a central component of a broader financial relief plan.
The ban is effective immediately, though it requires approval from Congress within 120 days. This policy shift arrives just days before the first round of the presidential election on October 4, where Lula is competing against Flávio Bolsonaro for a fourth term.
Prediction markets have reacted to the announcement, showing a decrease in the probability of Lula securing the most votes in the first round. While Lula has held a narrow lead in most polls, the introduction of this policy is viewed as a strategic move that could influence undecided voters.
The coming days are expected to be critical as the election nears. Market observers are monitoring for shifts in voter sentiment and potential reactions from opposition candidates that could impact the final outcome.



