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US Stock Futures Shift Following August Jobs Report

US stock futures turned mixed on September 4 after August nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations, prompting markets to reprice the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the US economy added 162,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in August. This figure surpassed consensus forecasts, which had anticipated between 53,000 and 56,000 new jobs.

The report also included a revision to July data, which was adjusted from an initial decline of 23,000 jobs to a gain of 21,000. The unemployment rate for August remained at 4.1%, consistent with prior forecasts.

The data release altered market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting in mid-September. The implied probability of a rate hike increased to approximately 59% following the report.

Treasury yields rose in response to the jobs data, causing bond prices to decline. This movement impacted futures markets, as higher yields can negatively affect growth stocks by reducing the present value of future earnings. Consequently, futures for the Nasdaq-100, S&P 500, and Dow experienced mixed results following the 8:30 a.m. ET announcement.

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