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Weekly Analysis: Volatility Compresses Ahead of the Rate Decision

Realized volatility across majors has fallen to a six-month low as traders position ahead of next week's policy announcement.

Weekly crypto volatility analysis chart

Realized volatility across the largest crypto assets has compressed to its lowest level in six months, a pattern typically seen ahead of major macro catalysts.

Options markets are pricing a wider-than-usual move following next week's rate decision, with skew suggesting traders are slightly more hedged to the downside.

Key levels to watch: bitcoin support sits near $112,000, with resistance clustered around the recent high. A break in either direction on above-average volume would likely set the tone for the rest of the month.

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