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Bank of America Warns Oil Could Hit $150 Amid Middle East Tensions

Bank of America projects that Brent crude could climb above $150 per barrel if Middle East conflict disrupts global supply chains, following a 50% price increase over the last year.

Bank of America has signaled that oil prices may reach $150 per barrel as geopolitical instability in the Middle East threatens to tighten global supply. Brent crude is currently trading at approximately $101.81 per barrel, marking a 50% gain over the past year.

The bank's outlook reflects concerns that prolonged regional conflict could lead to significant supply chain disruptions. Market participants are now looking toward potential production decisions from key figures, including Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo of OPEC and Abdulaziz bin Salman Al Saud of Saudi Arabia, for signals on future supply levels.

Prediction markets currently show limited expectations for a new all-time high in the immediate term, with only a 0.5% probability of reaching that milestone by September 30. However, sentiment for the end of the year is slightly more elevated, with a 10.5% chance assigned to crude oil hitting a new peak by December 31.

Future price action remains sensitive to any shifts in geopolitical conditions or official announcements regarding OPEC production quotas. Traders are monitoring these developments closely, as any escalation in the Middle East could force a reassessment of current market expectations.

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